Ripple’s cross-border token slid 3% across the past week and 7% on the monthly chart, sitting near $1.03 right now per CoinGecko. 🖤
Still two signals caught the eye of analyst Ali Martinez that might flip the script toward a fresh rally.

Potential Rally Triggers 💀

The first comes from the Tom DeMark Sequential lighting up a buy cue on XRP’s monthly chart, hinting at a macro move away from bearish pressure toward bullish momentum. He shared that thought over on X and over the last six years the same marker has lined up several big turns including a 1074% surge back in April 2020 and another 973% climb in August 2022. On the flip side XRP dropped 57% in April 2025 once the indicator gave its sell read.

XRP buy signal on monthly Tom Demark Sequential… hinting at possible macro shift from bearish to bullish momentum.

— Ali (@alicharts) July 2025

The second cue sits with the whales and their recent buying spree. Large holders grabbed over 380 million XRP worth nearly $400 million in just seven days. Their combined stack now sits around 8.2 billion tokens covering 13.1 of the circulating supply. 🌑
That kind of accumulation feels like quiet preparation for the next push and it could pull smaller traders in behind them too.
Martinez also flagged the $1.06 resistance zone where nearly 3 billion XRP changed hands and a monthly close above it may open paths toward $1.35 or even $1.64. He had already pointed at that same level earlier this month noting a break below could lead down toward $0.62.

Further Price Whispers ✨

Late last week XRP slipped to roughly $1.02 after news broke that the US crypto framework known as the CLARITY Act will now wait until September. One X account spotted the dip pushing the RSI deep into oversold territory and expects the strongest revival in history once price clears $1.05. 🕯️
Another voice on X highlighted a bullish divergence on the RSI and sees a reclaim of $1.08 sparking a serious reversal.
One more forecast stands out from ChartNerd who spotted a multi-year cup-and-handle formation that could stretch all the way to $27 though that level still feels distant for now. 🦇

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Ethereum maintains its firm hold over the tokenized real-world asset scene while Solana builds real spot trading flows as the lone serious contender per the latest CoinShares and Token Terminal joint report 🖤. Other big chains like Arbitrum BNB Chain and Base still lack any notable RWA spot action even after years online.

Dominant Networks Prevail 🌙

Liquidity stays locked on these veteran ecosystems where issuers and market makers already enjoy live venues so newer chains now chase proven DeFi apps too.

RWA Borrowing Gains Momentum 🔮

Crypto-native trade volumes dropped sharply over the past year while RWA spot trade instead climbed about 220% year over year from a tiny base between Q2 2025 and Q2 2026 even as overall DEX spot volumes slid roughly 70% according to the data. Tokenized assets keep attracting flows on their own terms separate from wider market swings. Total DeFi deposits fell around 15% in the same stretch from withdrawals and softer prices yet RWA deposits on lending venues and decentralized exchanges more than tripled from $2.3 billion to $7.4 billion. This surge shows real utility demand for tokenized collateral rather than pure crypto hype. Ethereum still leads RWA-backed lending with nearly 70% of all such deposits sitting on its platforms making it the main on-chain collateral hub. Plasma sits second thanks to Aave pushing beyond Ethereum while Solana growth rides Kamino a homegrown lending app built for productive RWA uses.

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Institutions Are Whispering Sweet Volatility Killers Into The Market Now 🖤
This week Wintermute spilled that institutional investors claimed 72% of its spot OTC crypto flow in the first half of 2026 up from 59% a year ago.
Professional investors keep reshaping crypto markets through tight focus on fewer assets heavy use of derivatives and steady muting of those wild price swings that used to define retail trading the firm notes 🌙.
Wintermute’s 1H26 OTC report found that institutional counterparties including hedge funds digital asset treasuries asset managers and family offices accounted for 72% of spot flow on its desk between January and June climbing from 61% in the second half of 2025 and 59% in the first half of 2025.
The company highlighted how institutional activity now carries enough weight to steer market direction and token performance. It noted that institutions stand as the clear drivers of Wintermute’s OTC flow while their habits keep redirecting liquidity across crypto 🕸️.
One striking shift shows institutions locking onto a smaller set of tokens. Between the first half of 2024 and the first half of 2026 unique tokens traded by institutional counterparties rose just 24% while retail traders expanded their set by 76% over the same stretch.
Wintermute added that this pattern forges a market where liquidity clusters tighter in fewer assets. Institutional investors have also shifted deeper into derivatives. Altcoin options notional volume on Wintermute’s desk grew 3.4 times between the second half of 2025 and the first half of 2026 as they leaned on options strategies for yield 💀.
The report ties institutional participation directly to quieter volatility with Bitcoin’s realized volatility sliding from near 70% in 2025 down to about 45% now ✨.
Wintermute CEO Evgeny Gaevoy told Bloomberg Crypto that institutions continue altering crypto behavior as their share of trading grows. The firm wrote As the patient cohort grows it is draining crypto of the volatility that once made the asset class so compelling to retail 🦇.

BTC Bear Market Now Moves In Quiet Shadows 🌹
While the stretched BTC downturn has it down roughly 49% from its October peak above $126,000 last year unlike earlier crypto winters the slide stays relatively steady with fewer sudden extreme plunges. The OG cryptocurrency sat near $65,000 at the time of writing with data from CoinGecko showing barely any move in 24 hours and just 1% gain across seven days.
The report’s findings line up with banks expanding crypto infrastructure this year including Morgan Stanley which announced it would introduce crypto trading on its E*Trade Platform. The asset management firm also recently launched America’s cheapest ETH and SOL ETFs.

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The CLARITY Act hit a political snag right before the business week wrapped, leaving things on hold until lawmakers return from their August break. Grayscale sketched out a potential way ahead for the US crypto scene if Congress ends up dropping the ball on that long-awaited market structure this year 🖤.
There’s no need to sugarcoat it. A delay would sting at first, but the firm spots a clear route through anyway 🌙.

Crypto Thrives Regardless 💀

Grayscale has shared thoughts on the bill’s promise before, and their newest take admitted an agreement this year is still technically doable. Yet Senate timing paired with midterm elections has made real passage tougher by the day 🕸️.
Their analysis dropped right after Senate Majority Leader John Thune filed cloture on the motion to advance the legislation before everyone left Washington. That procedural vote lands on September 15 but still needs 60 votes. It won’t finalize the bill, just decide if senators can keep moving it forward.
If that fails, Grayscale pointed out Washington holds extra paths to push crypto rules ahead without big legislation from Congress. Regulatory agencies stand out as one of the biggest options.
The CFTC and SEC have already grown noticeably more crypto-friendly than before, letting them shape fresh rules and interpretations even if Congress stays quiet 🦇.
These agencies remain limited without new laws though, especially around permanent lines between their jurisdictions. Still, they could handle key areas like tokenized securities, custody, and trading.
On the bright side, institutions have poured in hard over recent years via spot ETFs, stablecoins, tokenized RWAs, and more Wall Street action while the CLARITY Act sits idle. The GENIUS Act already set a federal plan for payment stablecoins, a solid win, noted Grayscale’s Head of Research, Zach Pandl 🕷️.

Passage Chances Keep Falling 🌑

The bill’s stall at week’s end hurt the space, though Thune’s cloture offered a bit of optimism. Key sticking points linger around ethics clashes, illicit finance rules, and Senate Agriculture Committee wording.
Republicans lack enough votes alone even with full support and need at least seven Democrats or independents. These unresolved issues have dropped expected odds for this year, with Galaxy Research lowering the probability from 50% to just 30% 👁️.

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XRPL has unleashed version 3.3.0 and it edges ever closer to becoming the dark backbone for institutional tokenization in our crypto shadows.
It rolls out several proposed amendments centered on privacy, payments, and handling real-world assets.

Hidden Exchanges 🖤

The standout addition goes by the name Confidential Transfer. This feature lets institutions cloak balances and amounts on Multi-Purpose Tokens while accounts and asset types stay visible to the network. Cryptographic proofs keep transactions valid without spilling the secrets of the sums involved.
According to the GitHub post and earlier notes, this solves a big hurdle for financial players who crave blockchain transparency yet dread exposing position sizes or trade values.
Data from RWA.xyz shows roughly 850 million out of the 1.38 billion in RWA on XRPL coming from Ripple’s own RLUSD. That leaves about 530 million in other tokenized assets from names like Ondo, Archax, Societe Generale, and VERT Capital.

Fresh Amendments 🌑

Beyond Hidden Exchanges the updates in version 3.3.0 cover Batch, Sponsor, and Permission Delegation. Batch groups up to eight transactions with an atomic option where all succeed or the whole set fails. This setup shines for intricate settlements and swaps in institutional flows.
Sponsor lets one account absorb another user’s fees and reserves so firms can onboard newcomers without forcing XRP buys first.
Permission Delegation grants pre-set transaction rights to another party without handing over full wallet control and pairs nicely with Dynamic MPT for post-issuance tweaks by issuers.
These amendments sit off the XRPL Mainnet until each gathers at least 80 percent validator support across two straight weeks.

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